What is the current probability for "Barcelona vs Universidad Catolica Winner?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 46¢ (46% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 14, 2026. 15 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Barcelona vs Universidad Catolica Winner?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 2945.7% and 2137.5% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Barcelona vs Universidad Catolica Winner?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Barcelona vs Universidad Catolica Winner?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 46% probability that Barcelona vs Universidad Catolica Winner?. This contract trades at 46¢ on Kalshi, closing May 14, 2026.

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46¢

Bid/Ask 44/46¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $861.91·OI $958.17·Closes May 14, 2026·15d remaining

KXCONMEBOLLIBGAME-26APR29BSCUC-BSC

7-day price7 snapshots · 4 regime

48¢46¢ current

Apr 2740¢Apr 28

Resolution rules

If Barcelona wins the Barcelona vs Universidad Catolica professional CONMEBOL Libertadores soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 29, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 2945.7%

IY (No) 2137.5%

Adj IY 1441%

CRI 1

Overround -0.0%

LAS 0.02

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	2945.7%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	2137.5%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	1441%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	1	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	-0.0%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.02	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

2¢

Computed

4/29/2026, 10:56:54 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/29/2026, 10:53:26 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXCONMEBOLLIBGAME-26APR29BSCUC-BSC yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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