What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call?
Prediction markets currently give a 99% probability that What will Alaska Air Group, Inc. say during their next earnings call?. This contract trades at 99¢ on Kalshi, closing April 21, 2026. This market shows zero liquidity with no 24-hour volume and open interest, making it effectively non-tradeable despite the wide 22¢ spread and unusually high implied yields (228% Yes, 210.5% No).
Analysis
This market shows zero liquidity with no 24-hour volume and open interest, making it effectively non-tradeable despite the wide 22¢ spread and unusually high implied yields (228% Yes, 210.5% No). The extremely elevated yield figures likely reflect the illiquidity rather than genuine market conviction, and the 1 Cliff Risk Index suggests minimal historical trading activity. With 167 days to expiry, this appears to be a nascent market awaiting initial price discovery before becoming viable for serious participants.
Resolution rules
If Amazon is said by any Alaska Air Group, Inc. representative (including the operator of the call) during the next Alaska Air Group, Inc. earnings call (including the Q+A), then the market resolves to Yes.
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXEARNINGSMENTIONALK-26APR21-AMAZ yes 100