Oxford United vs Wrexham Winner?
Prediction markets currently give a 99% probability that Oxford United vs Wrexham Winner?. This contract trades at 99¢ on Kalshi, closing April 21, 2026. This market shows extreme yield metrics (3659% for Yes, 1830% risk-adjusted) driven by minimal liquidity of just $84.68 open interest and a sharp 7-day price collapse from 4¢ to 38¢, suggesting either a significant news event or potential mispricing.
Analysis
This market shows extreme yield metrics (3659% for Yes, 1830% risk-adjusted) driven by minimal liquidity of just $84.68 open interest and a sharp 7-day price collapse from 4¢ to 38¢, suggesting either a significant news event or potential mispricing. The 39¢ price implies only a 39% win probability for Wrexham despite their recent ascent in professional soccer, which warrants scrutiny against current EFL Championship standings and team form. With just 16 days to expiry and only $39.96 in 24-hour volume, the tight 1¢ spread masks underlying illiquidity that could create execution challenges for larger positions.
Resolution rules
If Wrexham wins the Oxford United vs Wrexham professional EFL Championship soccer game originally scheduled for Apr 21, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXEFLCHAMPIONSHIPGAME-26APR21OXUWRE-WRE yes 100