Ethereum price at Apr 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
Prediction markets currently give a 3% probability that Ethereum price at Apr 24, 2026 at 5pm EDT?. This contract trades at 3¢ on Kalshi, closing April 24, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $4 in 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 3¢ price potentially unreliable despite the astronomical 100,000% implied yield on the Yes side.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $4 in 24-hour volume and open interest, making the 3¢ price potentially unreliable despite the astronomical 100,000% implied yield on the Yes side. The recent 50% price decline from 4¢ to 2¢ over seven days, combined with a narrow $2,590-$2,629.99 resolution band and only seven days to expiry, suggests either genuine uncertainty about Ethereum's precise price or thin order book manipulation. The 32 Cliff Risk Index and massive yield differential (100,000% vs 168.7%) indicate this micro-liquidity market carries substantial execution risk and should be treated as a novelty rather than a reliable price discovery mechanism.
Resolution rules
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Ethereum Real-Time Index (ERTI) before 5 PM EDT is between 2590-2629.99 at 5 PM EDT on Apr 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXETH-26APR2417-B2610 yes 100