What is the current probability for "Will Opensea FDV be above $9999999999.99 at 10:00 AM on Jan 1, 2027?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 10¢ (10% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on January 1, 2027. 245 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Opensea FDV be above $9999999999.99 at 10:00 AM on Jan 1, 2027?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 1338.2% and 16.5% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Opensea FDV be above $9999999999.99 at 10:00 AM on Jan 1, 2027?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Opensea FDV be above $9999999999.99 at 10:00 AM on Jan 1, 2027?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 10% probability that Will Opensea FDV be above $9999999999.99 at 10:00 AM on Jan 1, 2027?. This contract trades at 10¢ on Kalshi, closing January 1, 2027.

████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░

10¢

Bid/Ask 0/8¢·Spread 8¢·Vol $0·OI $710.66·Closes Jan 1, 2027·245d remaining

KXFDVOPENSEA-27JAN01-9999999999

7-day price33 snapshots · 2 regime

10¢10¢ current

Apr 81¢Apr 27

Resolution rules

If Opensea's fully diluted valuation (FDV) as displayed on CoinGecko is above 9999999999.99 at exactly 10:00 AM on 1 day after launch, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1338.2%

IY (No) 16.5%

Adj IY 67%

CRI 9

Overround -0.8%

LAS 0.90

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	1338.2%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	16.5%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	67%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	9	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	-0.8%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.90	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

taker

Score

0.636

Spread

8¢

Computed

4/30/2026, 5:48:32 PM

Observability directEvent type financial

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/30/2026, 5:38:09 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXFDVOPENSEA-27JAN01-9999999999 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

Related Prediction Market Questions