What is the current probability for "Will Metro Boomin be featured on Drake's album 'Iceman'?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 1¢ (1% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on January 1, 2027.

Where can I trade "Will Metro Boomin be featured on Drake's album 'Iceman'?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Metro Boomin be featured on Drake's album 'Iceman'?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 1% probability that Will Metro Boomin be featured on Drake's album 'Iceman'?. This contract trades at 1¢ on Kalshi, closing January 1, 2027. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $267 open interest, making the 22¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading.

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1¢

Bid/Ask 1/16¢·Spread 15¢·Vol $300.46·OI $556.19·Closes Jan 1, 2027

KXFEATUREDRAKE-27-MET

Analysis

4d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $267 open interest, making the 22¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading. The 4546% implied yield on the Yes side is a red flag indicating thin positioning rather than genuine market consensus, while the wide 19¢ spread reflects uncertainty and low confidence in price discovery. With 260 days to expiry and a neutral regime, traders should await either album announcement details or increased liquidity before treating this as a meaningful probability estimate.

Resolution rules

If Metro Boomin is featured on Drake's album 'Iceman' before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

15¢

Computed

4/21/2026, 10:18:12 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXFEATUREDRAKE-27-MET yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Event Overround →