Will GloRilla be featured on Trippie Red's next album?

Prediction markets currently give a 72% probability that Will GloRilla be featured on Trippie Red's next album?. This contract trades at 72¢ on Kalshi, closing January 1, 2027. The market has experienced dramatic price appreciation over seven days (rising from 5¢ to 72¢), suggesting either new information about a potential collaboration or speculative momentum, though the zero 24-hour volume indicates current illiquidity and potential difficulty executing at posted prices.

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72¢
Bid/Ask 26/40¢·Spread 14¢·Vol $0·OI $596.58·Closes Jan 1, 2027·255d remaining
KXFEATURETRIPPIERED-27-GLO
7-day price8 snapshots · 2 regime
29¢26¢ current
Apr 95¢Apr 20

Analysis

4d ago

The market has experienced dramatic price appreciation over seven days (rising from 5¢ to 72¢), suggesting either new information about a potential collaboration or speculative momentum, though the zero 24-hour volume indicates current illiquidity and potential difficulty executing at posted prices. The 72% implied probability carries an unusually high yes-side yield of 380.2% against a modest 52% no-side yield, reflecting asymmetric risk pricing that may not fully account for the base rate of featured artist placements on major label albums. With 260 days to expiry and only $596.58 open interest, this thin market warrants caution—the wide 13¢ spread and low liquidity suggest the true probability may differ meaningfully from the posted price.

Resolution rules

If GloRilla is featured on Trippie Red's next album before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 407.8%
IY (No) 50.3%
Adj IY 204%
CRI 3
Overround 5.6%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)407.8%
IY (No)50.3%
Adj IY204%
CRI3
Overround5.6%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
14¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 9:41:49 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 9:38:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXFEATURETRIPPIERED-27-GLO yes 100

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