Will Deaglan McEachern be the Democratic nominee for Governor in New Hampshire?
Prediction markets currently give a 6% probability that Will Deaglan McEachern be the Democratic nominee for Governor in New Hampshire?. This contract trades at 6¢ on Kalshi, closing November 3, 2027. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite a notably wide 1¢ spread on a 7¢ price, suggesting minimal trader interest in McEachern's nomination odds.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite a notably wide 1¢ spread on a 7¢ price, suggesting minimal trader interest in McEachern's nomination odds. The 1010.9% implied yield on the Yes side is extraordinarily high—typical of thin, low-conviction markets where small position sizes create outsized percentage returns, though the $1,091 open interest indicates this is a niche contract. With 566 days until expiry and a neutral regime score, there's substantial time for meaningful price discovery, but the current setup suggests this is either a speculative long shot or a market awaiting catalyst events to attract serious capital.
Also on polymarket at 3¢(Δ +3¢)
Resolution rules
If Deaglan McEachern wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 New Hampshire Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXGOVNHNOMD-26-DMCE yes 100