When will Deel IPO?
Prediction markets currently give a 13% probability that When will Deel IPO?. This contract trades at 13¢ on Kalshi, closing September 1, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $45 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 13¢ price potentially unreliable for forecasting Deel's actual IPO probability.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $45 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 13¢ price potentially unreliable for forecasting Deel's actual IPO probability. The astronomical 8603% implied yield on Yes contracts reflects the tiny position size rather than genuine market conviction, and the wide 9¢ spread underscores how difficult it would be to execute meaningful trades. The price has declined sharply from 5¢ to 3¢ over seven days, suggesting either deteriorating IPO sentiment or simply the volatility typical of illiquid micro-markets with minimal trading activity.
Resolution rules
If Deel confirms an IPO before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXIPODEEL-26SEP01 yes 100