What is the current probability for "When will Ramp IPO?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 30¢ (30% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on June 1, 2027. 405 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "When will Ramp IPO?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 319.3% and 25.4% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "When will Ramp IPO?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

When will Ramp IPO?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 30% probability that When will Ramp IPO?. This contract trades at 30¢ on Kalshi, closing June 1, 2027. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and minimal open interest of just $295.78, making the 29-cent price potentially unreliable for serious positioning.

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30¢

Bid/Ask 22/30¢·Spread 8¢·Vol $0·OI $296.78·Closes Jun 1, 2027·405d remaining

KXIPORAMP-27JUN01

7-day price5 snapshots · 2 regime

23¢22¢ current

Apr 1021¢Apr 11

Analysis

4d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and minimal open interest of just $295.78, making the 29-cent price potentially unreliable for serious positioning. The 315.5% implied yield on the Yes side is exceptionally high and likely reflects the thin liquidity rather than genuine market consensus, while the 8-cent spread represents 28% of the current price. With 410 days to expiration and a moderate Cliff Risk Index of 4, this appears to be a speculative, low-conviction market where any meaningful trade could significantly move the price.

Resolution rules

If Ramp confirms an IPO before Jun 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 319.3%

IY (No) 25.4%

Adj IY 102%

CRI 4

Overround 0.1%

LAS 0.36

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	319.3%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	25.4%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	102%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	4	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	0.1%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.36	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

8¢

Computed

4/21/2026, 9:08:48 PM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/21/2026, 9:08:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXIPORAMP-27JUN01 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →