Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $2.00 end of April?

This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume despite $1.05M open interest, and the 19¢ spread represents a concerning 21% bid-ask gap that likely reflects pricing uncertainty rather than genuine two-sided demand. The 90% Yes price implies OPEN needs to gain just 10% from current levels to resolve positively, yet the asymmetric yield profile—357% for Yes versus 28,919% for No—suggests the market may be mispriced or that the No side is severely undervalued as a tail hedge. With only 11 days to expiration and a Cliff Risk Index of 9, this market carries substantial execution risk and should be approached cautiously given the combination of thin liquidity and extreme yield disparities.

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) on the final trading day of April 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/OPEN/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

Indicators

Regime

Trade