When will Ramp IPO?
Prediction markets currently give a 38% probability that When will Ramp IPO?. This contract trades at 38¢ on Kalshi, closing March 1, 2027. The market is pricing in a 38% probability of Ramp going public by March 2027, but the extreme 928% implied yield on the Yes side suggests severe illiquidity with only $254 in open interest and zero 24-hour volume.
Analysis
The market is pricing in a 38% probability of Ramp going public by March 2027, but the extreme 928% implied yield on the Yes side suggests severe illiquidity with only $254 in open interest and zero 24-hour volume. The 9¢ spread and recent price decline from 12¢ to 11¢ indicate thin order books, making this contract difficult to trade at fair value despite the nearly 3.5-year timeframe providing ample resolution runway.
Resolution rules
If Ramp confirms an IPO before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXIPORAMP-27MAR01 yes 100