Will Bradley Thomas join Reform UK before June 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 16% probability that Will Bradley Thomas join Reform UK before June 2026?. This contract trades at 16¢ on Kalshi, closing June 1, 2026.
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16¢Bid/Ask 0/10¢·Spread 10¢·Vol $0·OI $1·Closes Jun 1, 2026
KXJOINREFORM-26-BTHO
Resolution rules
If Bradley Thomas announces they are joining Reform UK before Jun 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
10¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 9:42:55 PM
Observability highEvent type political
Trade
View on kalshi →
sf trade KXJOINREFORM-26-BTHO yes 100