Will Garrett Crochet lead Pro Baseball in strikeouts for the 2026 regular season?

Prediction markets currently give a 19% probability that Will Garrett Crochet lead Pro Baseball in strikeouts for the 2026 regular season?. This contract trades at 19¢ on Kalshi, closing October 22, 2026. This market shows zero liquidity with no 24-hour volume and no open interest, making the 0¢ price and 881.9% implied yield on the Yes side essentially meaningless—likely reflecting a failed or abandoned market rather than genuine pricing.

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19¢mid
Bid/Ask 16/22¢·Spread 6¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes Oct 22, 2026·179d remaining
KXLEADERMLBKS-26-GCROCHET35

Analysis

9d ago

This market shows zero liquidity with no 24-hour volume and no open interest, making the 0¢ price and 881.9% implied yield on the Yes side essentially meaningless—likely reflecting a failed or abandoned market rather than genuine pricing. The 8¢ spread is unusually wide relative to the quoted price, and with 189 days to expiration, there's sufficient time for meaningful price discovery if liquidity ever materializes. The neutral regime score and elevated Cliff Risk Index (5) suggest this contract carries execution risk and should be avoided until demonstrable trading activity emerges.

Resolution rules

If Garrett Crochet leads Pro Baseball in strikeouts for the 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1068.1%
IY (No) 38.8%
Adj IY 534%
CRI 5
Overround -0.3%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)1068.1%
IY (No)38.8%
Adj IY534%
CRI5
Overround-0.3%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
6¢
Computed
4/26/2026, 4:33:34 AM
Indicators computed 4/26/2026, 4:23:51 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXLEADERMLBKS-26-GCROCHET35 yes 100

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