Will Wyatt Langford win AL Hank Aaron Award?

Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that Will Wyatt Langford win AL Hank Aaron Award?. This contract trades at 4¢ on Kalshi, closing December 8, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $33 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable.

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4¢
Bid/Ask 0/4¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $0·OI $33·Closes Dec 8, 2026·230d remaining
KXMLBALHAARON-26-WLAN

Analysis

5d ago

This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $33 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable. The implied yield of 3717.5% on the Yes side is extraordinarily high, suggesting either severe mispricing or that traders view Langford as an extremely unlikely candidate for the 2026 AL Hank Aaron Award. With 236 days to expiry and a wide 4¢ spread, this contract lacks sufficient depth for meaningful position-building, though the neutral regime score indicates no obvious directional bias in market conditions.

Resolution rules

If Wyatt Langford wins the Pro Baseball American League Hank Aaron Award in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 3802.9%
IY (No) 6.6%
Adj IY 0%
CRI 24
Overround 0.2%
LAS 1.00
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)3802.9%
IY (No)6.6%
Adj IY0%
CRI24
Overround0.2%
LAS1.00

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 6:42:01 AM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 6:38:23 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXMLBALHAARON-26-WLAN yes 100

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