Will Milwaukee be the 2026 NL Central Division Winner

Prediction markets currently give a 28% probability that Will Milwaukee be the 2026 NL Central Division Winner. This contract trades at 28¢ on Kalshi, closing November 15, 2026. Milwaukee's odds have collapsed 11 cents over the past week, dropping from 37¢ to 26¢, suggesting deteriorating confidence in the Brewers' divisional prospects despite still having 210 days until resolution.

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28¢
Bid/Ask 25/26¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $5,588.02·OI $97,582.67·Closes Nov 15, 2026·207d remaining
KXMLBNLCENT-26-MIL
7-day price80 snapshots · 76 regime
37¢25¢ current
Apr 824¢Apr 22

Analysis

3d ago

Milwaukee's odds have collapsed 11 cents over the past week, dropping from 37¢ to 26¢, suggesting deteriorating confidence in the Brewers' divisional prospects despite still having 210 days until resolution. The 494.4% implied yield on the Yes side is exceptionally high relative to the modest $913.42 daily volume and $94,248 open interest, indicating thin liquidity that could amplify price swings if new information emerges. The tight 1¢ spread and neutral regime score suggest the market has settled into a stable equilibrium, though the sharp recent decline warrants monitoring for whether this reflects fundamental changes to Milwaukee's roster or competitive position.

Resolution rules

If Milwaukee is the 2026 Pro Baseball NL Central Division Winner, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 529.6%
IY (No) 58.8%
Adj IY 508%
CRI 3
RV 338%
VR 1.44
▶ Full indicator table (9)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)529.6%
IY (No)58.8%
Adj IY508%
CRI3
RV338%
VR1.44
IAR0.8/h
Overround0.0%
LAS0.04

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.341
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 10:15:32 AM
Observability lowEvent type sports
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 10:08:23 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXMLBNLCENT-26-MIL yes 100

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