Will Monster Energy Yamaha MotoGP be the 2026 MotoGP Teams' World Champion?
Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that Will Monster Energy Yamaha MotoGP be the 2026 MotoGP Teams' World Champion?. This contract trades at 4¢ on Kalshi, closing December 14, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $52 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $52 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading. The 3625% implied yield on the Yes side is a classic artifact of thin markets where even minimal position sizing creates outsized percentage returns, though the risk-adjusted yield of 1813% still suggests meaningful underpricing if Yamaha has any legitimate championship contention odds. With 242 days to expiry and a wide 3¢ spread, this appears to be a speculative long-tail market with minimal institutional participation rather than a genuine pricing discovery mechanism.
Resolution rules
If Monster Energy Yamaha MotoGP wins the 2026 MotoGP Teams' World Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXMOTOGPTEAMS-26-MONS yes 100