What is the current probability for "Will Jalen Duren be selected to the 2025-26 All-Pro Basketball 2nd Team?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 35¢ (35% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on June 30, 2026. 61 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Jalen Duren be selected to the 2025-26 All-Pro Basketball 2nd Team?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 1107.8% and 321.2% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Will Jalen Duren be selected to the 2025-26 All-Pro Basketball 2nd Team?

Prediction markets currently give a 35% probability that Will Jalen Duren be selected to the 2025-26 All-Pro Basketball 2nd Team?. This contract trades at 35¢ on Kalshi, closing June 30, 2026. The 17¢ price reflects a modest 17% probability for Duren making All-Pro 2nd Team, though the asymmetric implied yields (2389% for Yes vs.

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35¢

Bid/Ask 0/26¢·Spread 26¢·Vol $0·OI $679.84·Closes Jun 30, 2026·61d remaining

KXNBA2NDTEAM-26-JDUR

7-day price45 snapshots · 6 regime

35¢35¢ current

Apr 81¢Apr 24

Analysis

13d ago

The 17¢ price reflects a modest 17% probability for Duren making All-Pro 2nd Team, though the asymmetric implied yields (2389% for Yes vs. 100% for No) signal extremely thin liquidity with only $490 open interest and $307 in daily volume. With 75 days to resolution and a flat 7-day price trajectory, the market appears underactive, though the tight 1¢ spread and neutral regime suggest relatively stable sentiment around Duren's All-Pro prospects.

Resolution rules

If Jalen Duren is selected to the 2025-26 All-Pro Basketball 2nd Team, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 1107.8%

IY (No) 321.2%

Adj IY 554%

CRI 2

Overround 3.6%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	1107.8%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	321.2%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	554%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	2	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	3.6%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

26¢

Computed

4/30/2026, 9:35:33 AM

Indicators computed 4/30/2026, 9:23:14 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBA2NDTEAM-26-JDUR yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →