Will Kevin Durant be selected to the 2025-26 All-Pro Basketball 2nd Team?
Prediction markets currently give a 82% probability that Will Kevin Durant be selected to the 2025-26 All-Pro Basketball 2nd Team?. This contract trades at 82¢ on Kalshi, closing June 30, 2026. The market has priced Durant's 2nd Team All-Pro selection at a notably high 77%, reflecting confidence in his continued elite status, though the dramatic 56¢ price surge over seven days (from 20¢ to 76¢) suggests recent positive sentiment shift—possibly tied to strong early-season performance or injury recovery news.
Analysis
The market has priced Durant's 2nd Team All-Pro selection at a notably high 77%, reflecting confidence in his continued elite status, though the dramatic 56¢ price surge over seven days (from 20¢ to 76¢) suggests recent positive sentiment shift—possibly tied to strong early-season performance or injury recovery news. The extreme 1549% implied yield on the "No" side combined with thin liquidity ($1,207 open interest) indicates this is a highly skewed market where contrarian bettors face substantial odds, though the tight 2¢ spread suggests reasonable pricing efficiency at current levels. With 75 days to resolution and a moderate Cliff Risk Index of 3, there's meaningful time for Durant's status to shift, but the market's conviction appears strong unless injury or significant performance decline materializes.
Resolution rules
If Kevin Durant is selected to the 2025-26 All-Pro Basketball 2nd Team, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNBA2NDTEAM-26-KDUR yes 100