What is the current probability for "Jamal Murray: 2+ threes"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 83¢ (83% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 8, 2026. 16 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Jamal Murray: 2+ threes"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 500.6% and 10389.1% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Jamal Murray: 2+ threes"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Jamal Murray: 2+ threes

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 83% probability that Jamal Murray: 2+ threes. This contract trades at 83¢ on Kalshi, closing May 8, 2026.

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83¢mid

Bid/Ask 82/84¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 8, 2026·16d remaining

KXNBA3PT-26APR23DENMIN-DENJMURRAY27-2

7-day price38 snapshots · 8 regime

82¢82¢ current

Apr 2157¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

If Jamal Murray records 2+ Three Pointers in the Denver at Minnesota professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 500.6%

IY (No) 10389.1%

Adj IY 10136%

CRI 5

RV 2713%

VR 10.95

▶ Full indicator table (9)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	500.6%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	10389.1%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	10136%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	5	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	2713%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	10.95	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	2.6/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	6.0%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.02	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Computed

4/22/2026, 1:27:08 AM

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 1:23:18 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBA3PT-26APR23DENMIN-DENJMURRAY27-2 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →