What is the current probability for "Chet Holmgren: 3+ blocks"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 29¢ (29% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 7, 2026. 15 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Chet Holmgren: 3+ blocks"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 6957.2% and 858.8% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Chet Holmgren: 3+ blocks"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Chet Holmgren: 3+ blocks

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 29% probability that Chet Holmgren: 3+ blocks. This contract trades at 29¢ on Kalshi, closing May 7, 2026.

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29¢mid

Bid/Ask 26/31¢·Spread 5¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 7, 2026·15d remaining

KXNBABLK-26APR22PHXOKC-OKCCHOLMGREN7-3

7-day price82 snapshots · 2 regime

30¢26¢ current

Apr 201¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

If Chet Holmgren records 3+ Blocks in the Phoenix at Oklahoma City professional basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 6957.2%

IY (No) 858.8%

Adj IY 6957%

CRI 3

RV 8323%

VR 3.95

▶ Full indicator table (8)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	6957.2%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	858.8%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	6957%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	3	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	8323%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	3.95	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.9/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)
Overround	0.7%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

5¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 3:08:59 AM

Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 3:08:23 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNBABLK-26APR22PHXOKC-OKCCHOLMGREN7-3 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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