Who will be picked second in the Pro Men's Basketball Draft?
Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that Who will be picked second in the Pro Men's Basketball Draft?. This contract trades at 4¢ on Kalshi, closing July 14, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $13 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable for actual trading.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $13 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable for actual trading. The astronomical 9,897.7% implied yield on the Yes side reflects the micro-scale nature of the position rather than genuine edge, and the wide 3¢ spread underscores the difficulty in establishing fair value. With 89 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 24, this appears to be a speculative micro-bet on a specific player outcome rather than an efficiently-priced market.
Resolution rules
If Kingston Flemings is selected as the second overall pick in the 2026 Pro Men's Basketball draft, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-2-KFLE yes 100