Who will be picked third in the Pro Basketball Draft?
Prediction markets currently give a 4% probability that Who will be picked third in the Pro Basketball Draft?. This contract trades at 4¢ on Kalshi, closing July 14, 2026. This is an extremely illiquid micro-market with only $1 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable.
Analysis
This is an extremely illiquid micro-market with only $1 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 4¢ price potentially unreliable. The 9,887% implied yield on the Yes side reflects the tiny position size rather than genuine edge, and the 24 Cliff Risk Index suggests high volatility risk around resolution. With 89 days to the June 2026 draft, this market is too thin to trade meaningfully, though the 4% probability on Braylon Mullins seems reasonable for a single player in a 60-pick draft scenario.
Resolution rules
If Braylon Mullins is selected as the third overall pick in the 2026 Pro Basketball draft, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNBADRAFTPICK-26-3-BMUL yes 100