Will Portland win 4-2 in the Portland vs San Antonio 1st Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball playoffs?
Prediction markets currently give a 2% probability that Will Portland win 4-2 in the Portland vs San Antonio 1st Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball playoffs?. This contract trades at 2¢ on Kalshi, closing May 18, 2026. This market shows extreme mispricing with a staggering 39,567% implied yield on Yes contracts, suggesting the 5¢ price significantly undervalues a 4-2 Portland victory outcome in a best-of-seven series.
Analysis
This market shows extreme mispricing with a staggering 39,567% implied yield on Yes contracts, suggesting the 5¢ price significantly undervalues a 4-2 Portland victory outcome in a best-of-seven series. The sharp 70% price decline over seven days (from 10¢ to 3¢) combined with minimal 24-hour volume of just $25 and a high Cliff Risk Index of 32 indicates illiquidity and potential manipulation rather than informed trading. With 30 days to expiry and only $502 in open interest, this contract lacks sufficient depth for reliable price discovery, making the extreme yield figures largely theoretical rather than actionable.
Resolution rules
If the series score is Portland wins 4-2 in the Portland vs San Antonio 1st Round series in the 2026 Pro Basketball playoffs, then the market resolves to Yes.
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNBASERIESSCORE-26PORSASR1-POR42 yes 100