Will BYU win the College Football Big 12 Championship?
Prediction markets currently give a 14% probability that Will BYU win the College Football Big 12 Championship?. This contract trades at 14¢ on Kalshi, closing January 2, 2027. BYU's championship odds have collapsed 32% over the past week, falling from 19¢ to 13¢, suggesting deteriorating performance or injury concerns heading into the 2026 season.
Analysis
BYU's championship odds have collapsed 32% over the past week, falling from 19¢ to 13¢, suggesting deteriorating performance or injury concerns heading into the 2026 season. The 937.5% implied yield on Yes contracts reflects extreme illiquidity with only $2,519 in open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making this a highly speculative micro-market where the thin pricing may not reflect true consensus. With 261 days to expiration and a 7 Cliff Risk Index, this contract carries significant execution risk and should be treated as a novelty position rather than a reliable hedge.
Resolution rules
If BYU wins the 2026 College Football Big 12 Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNCAAFB12-26-BYU yes 100