Will Tennessee win the College Football SEC Championship?
Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that Will Tennessee win the College Football SEC Championship?. This contract trades at 5¢ on Kalshi, closing January 3, 2027. Tennessee's 5¢ price reflects a severely depressed valuation with an extraordinary 3354.5% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting either deep skepticism about their championship prospects or minimal market participation.
Analysis
Tennessee's 5¢ price reflects a severely depressed valuation with an extraordinary 3354.5% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting either deep skepticism about their championship prospects or minimal market participation. The $0 24-hour volume and just $1,141 open interest indicate this is an illiquid, potentially mispriced contract where the extreme yield may not represent true expected value. With 261 days to expiry and a 24 Cliff Risk Index, this market lacks sufficient depth to be reliably tradeable, and the massive yield differential between Yes (3354.5%) and No (5.8%) signals a market in need of price discovery.
Resolution rules
If Tennessee wins the 2026 College Football SEC Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNCAAFSEC-26-TENN yes 100