Will Texas A&M win the College Football SEC Championship?

Prediction markets currently give a 12% probability that Will Texas A&M win the College Football SEC Championship?. This contract trades at 12¢ on Kalshi, closing January 3, 2027. Texas A&M's SEC Championship odds are priced at a depressed 11¢ with virtually no trading activity ($0 in 24h volume), suggesting thin liquidity and potentially stale pricing rather than genuine market conviction.

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12¢
Bid/Ask 6/11¢·Spread 5¢·Vol $0·OI $1,583.53·Closes Jan 3, 2027·256d remaining
KXNCAAFSEC-26-TXAM
7-day price4 snapshots · 2 regime
7¢6¢ current
Apr 86¢Apr 13

Analysis

5d ago

Texas A&M's SEC Championship odds are priced at a depressed 11¢ with virtually no trading activity ($0 in 24h volume), suggesting thin liquidity and potentially stale pricing rather than genuine market conviction. The extreme 2189% implied yield on the Yes side and 6¢ spread indicate this is a low-confidence market where the risk-adjusted return (1095%) remains outsized, though the recent price decline from 7¢ to 6¢ hints at modest bearish sentiment. With 261 days to expiration and only $1,560 in open interest, this market lacks the depth to be a reliable probability estimate for a program with legitimate SEC Championship aspirations.

Resolution rules

If Texas A&M wins the 2026 College Football SEC Championship Game, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 2237.1%
IY (No) 9.1%
Adj IY 1119%
CRI 16
Overround 0.1%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)2237.1%
IY (No)9.1%
Adj IY1119%
CRI16
Overround0.1%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
5¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 1:33:25 PM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 1:23:24 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXNCAAFSEC-26-TXAM yes 100

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