Will BYU go undefeated in the 2026 College Football regular season?

Prediction markets currently give a 10% probability that Will BYU go undefeated in the 2026 College Football regular season?. This contract trades at 10¢ on Kalshi, closing December 28, 2026. This market exhibits extreme illiquidity with only $9 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 2712.8% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical rather than actionable.

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10¢
Bid/Ask 5/9¢·Spread 4¢·Vol $0·OI $9·Closes Dec 28, 2026·250d remaining
KXNCAAFUNDEFEATED-26-BYU

Analysis

5d ago

This market exhibits extreme illiquidity with only $9 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 2712.8% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical rather than actionable. The 10¢ price reflects a 10% probability of BYU going undefeated, which appears reasonable given the difficulty of running an undefeated regular season in modern college football, though the wide 3¢ spread suggests minimal market confidence in pricing. With 256 days until expiration and a Cliff Risk Index of 19, this contract carries meaningful execution risk and would benefit from significantly more liquidity before representing a genuine trading opportunity.

Resolution rules

If BYU goes undefeated in the 2026 College Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 2773.4%
IY (No) 7.7%
Adj IY 1387%
CRI 19
Overround 0.9%
▶ Full indicator table (5)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)2773.4%
IY (No)7.7%
Adj IY1387%
CRI19
Overround0.9%

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
4¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 1:39:33 PM
Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 1:38:23 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXNCAAFUNDEFEATED-26-BYU yes 100

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