Will Notre Dame go undefeated in the 2026 College Football regular season

30-day trend

Analysis

This probability reflects the chance Notre Dame completes a full regular season without any losses in 2026. The 13% estimate sits between several peer programs, with Texas trading at 6% and Georgia at 13%, suggesting moderate skepticism about any team running the table. Undefeated seasons depend primarily on roster talent and depth relative to schedule strength—Notre Dame's spring recruiting outcomes and transfer portal additions will determine offensive firepower and defensive consistency. The season begins in late August 2026, making preseason performance in August scrimmages and early-season matchups the critical data points that will sharpen this probability significantly. Current trading volume is minimal, indicating limited market attention to this specific contract ahead of the season's start.

• ›Notre Dame's strength of schedule in 2026, particularly ranked non-conference opponents and conference slate difficulty
• ›Quarterback performance and offensive line continuity from previous season
• ›Defensive secondary depth and pass-rush capability relative to opponents' offensive firepower
• ›Historical baseline: fewer than 10 FBS teams have gone undefeated in any season since 2000, with only three doing so in the last decade
• ›Early-season performance against top-20 competition in August-September will provide direct evidence of team quality versus projection models

What moved the line

• Sep 17Texas Tech↓10pp32→22¢ · Kalshi
• Sep 12South Florida↓8pp9→1¢ · Kalshi
• Sep 17Notre Dame↓7pp40→33¢ · Kalshi
• Sep 17Miami (FL)↑7pp18→25¢ · Kalshi
• Sep 17Virginia↓7pp9→2¢ · Kalshi

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These markets stopped trading. Last odds and any captured outcome are shown above — full settlement detail lives at the venue.

How we compute these odds