Will Navy go undefeated in the 2026 College Football regular season?
Prediction markets currently give a 8% probability that Will Navy go undefeated in the 2026 College Football regular season?. This contract trades at 8¢ on Kalshi, closing December 28, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and just $528 open interest, making the 16¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and just $528 open interest, making the 16¢ price potentially unreliable for serious trading. The 2236.9% implied yield on the Yes side is a red flag indicating the market is severely mispriced or illiquid rather than reflecting genuine edge, while the 9.1% yield on No suggests more rational pricing. The recent price decline from 7¢ to 6¢ over seven days combined with the wide 3¢ spread and high cliff risk index (16) suggests this is a thin, speculative market where Navy's actual undefeated probability is likely better reflected in the No side's more modest yield.
Resolution rules
If Navy goes undefeated in the 2026 College Football regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNCAAFUNDEFEATED-26-NAVY yes 100