What is the current probability for "Canisius vs Marist Winner?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 85¢ (85% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on May 6, 2026. 15 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Canisius vs Marist Winner?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 426.3% and 13689.4% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Canisius vs Marist Winner?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Canisius vs Marist Winner?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 85% probability that Canisius vs Marist Winner?. This contract trades at 85¢ on Kalshi, closing May 6, 2026.

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85¢

Bid/Ask 85/88¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $385.66·OI $353.33·Closes May 6, 2026·15d remaining

KXNCAAMLAXGAME-26APR22CANMAR-MAR

7-day price13 snapshots · 1 regime

87¢85¢ current

Apr 202¢Apr 21

Resolution rules

If Marist is the winner in the Canisius vs Marist Men's College Lacrosse game originally scheduled for Apr 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 426.3%

IY (No) 13689.4%

Adj IY 13689%

CRI 6

RV 3651%

VR 13.86

▶ Full indicator table (7)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	426.3%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	13689.4%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	13689%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	6	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
RV	3651%	Realized Volatility — annualized stddev from 48h price history
VR	13.86	Vol Ratio — realized vol / theoretical max. >0.8 very active, <0.1 dead
IAR	1.8/h	Info Arrival Rate — meaningful price changes per hour (48h)

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

3¢

Computed

4/21/2026, 4:33:57 PM

Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 4:23:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNCAAMLAXGAME-26APR22CANMAR-MAR yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Realized Volatility →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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