What is the current probability for "Will Los Angeles C win the Pro Football AFC West Division?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 35¢ (35% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on January 25, 2027. 278 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Los Angeles C win the Pro Football AFC West Division?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 254.6% and 67.6% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Los Angeles C win the Pro Football AFC West Division?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Los Angeles C win the Pro Football AFC West Division?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 35% probability that Will Los Angeles C win the Pro Football AFC West Division?. This contract trades at 35¢ on Kalshi, closing January 25, 2027. This market shows minimal trading activity with zero 24-hour volume despite $10,431 in open interest, suggesting low liquidity and potential difficulty executing larger positions.

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35¢

Bid/Ask 34/35¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $27.32·OI $11,892.37·Closes Jan 25, 2027·278d remaining

KXNFLAFCWEST-27-LAC

7-day price6 snapshots · 15 regime

34¢34¢ current

Apr 933¢Apr 17

Analysis

5d ago

This market shows minimal trading activity with zero 24-hour volume despite $10,431 in open interest, suggesting low liquidity and potential difficulty executing larger positions. The 35¢ price implies the Chargers have a one-in-three chance to win the AFC West, which appears reasonable given competitive division dynamics, though the extreme 261% implied yield on the Yes side reflects the illiquidity premium rather than fundamental conviction. With 284 days to expiration and a tight 2¢ spread, this market lacks the price discovery signals needed to identify meaningful mispricings.

Cross-venue

Also on polymarket at 32¢(Δ +3¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.85IY 302.2%Close-time delta 519h

Resolution rules

If Los Angeles C wins the Pro Football AFC West Division, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 254.6%

IY (No) 67.6%

Adj IY 124%

CRI 2

Overround 0.0%

LAS 0.03

▶ Full indicator table (6)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	254.6%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	67.6%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	124%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	2	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	0.0%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family
LAS	0.03	Liquidity Availability Score

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.341

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 8:19:06 AM

Observability lowEvent type sports

Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 8:08:23 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXNFLAFCWEST-27-LAC yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →