Will Dallas be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers?

Prediction markets currently give a 52% probability that Will Dallas be one of the 2026-27 Pro Football playoff qualifiers?. This contract trades at 52¢ on Kalshi, closing January 25, 2027. Dallas is priced at exactly even odds (50¢) with symmetric 128.7% implied yields on both sides, suggesting genuine uncertainty about their 2026-27 playoff prospects.

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52¢
Bid/Ask 52/55¢·Spread 3¢·Vol $1,814.62·OI $2,730.47·Closes Jan 25, 2027·279d remaining
KXNFLPLAYOFF-27-DAL
7-day price87 snapshots · 10 regime
52¢52¢ current
Apr 842¢Apr 21

Analysis

4d ago

Dallas is priced at exactly even odds (50¢) with symmetric 128.7% implied yields on both sides, suggesting genuine uncertainty about their 2026-27 playoff prospects. The market shows minimal liquidity at just $881.86 open interest and $21.65 daily volume, with a tight 4¢ spread indicating low trading activity despite 284 days to expiry. Notable price movement over the past week—rising from 44¢ to 50¢—suggests recent positive sentiment toward Dallas's playoff chances, though the thin liquidity means this shift may not reflect broad market conviction.

Resolution rules

If Dallas is one of the Pro Football playoff qualifiers, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 120.9%
IY (No) 141.9%
Adj IY 67%
CRI 1
Overround 13.4%
LAS 0.06
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)120.9%
IY (No)141.9%
Adj IY67%
CRI1
Overround13.4%
LAS0.06

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.341
Spread
3¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 9:38:54 PM
Observability lowEvent type sports
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/21/2026, 9:38:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXNFLPLAYOFF-27-DAL yes 100

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