Who will win Jack Adams Award?
Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that Who will win Jack Adams Award?. This contract trades at 5¢ on Kalshi, closing June 30, 2026. This Dan Muse Jack Adams Award contract shows extreme mispricing with an 11,802% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting the 5¢ price significantly undervalues his odds relative to the No side's modest 20.5% yield.
Analysis
This Dan Muse Jack Adams Award contract shows extreme mispricing with an 11,802% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting the 5¢ price significantly undervalues his odds relative to the No side's modest 20.5% yield. The cross-venue gap is notable—Polymarket prices this at 4¢ versus Kalshi's 5¢—indicating potential arbitrage, though the thin $33 daily volume and $9,065 open interest raise liquidity concerns for executing larger positions. With 74 days to expiry and realized volatility exceeding 3,500%, this market exhibits extreme sensitivity to coaching changes or performance updates in the 2025-26 NHL season.
Also on polymarket at 3¢(Δ +2¢)
Resolution rules
If Dan Muse wins the NHL Jack Adams Award in the 2025-26 NHL season, then the market resolves to Yes.
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXNHLADAMS-26-DMUS yes 100