What is the current probability for "Top USA Artist on Spotify on Apr 21, 2026?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 10¢ (10% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on April 22, 2026. 0 days remaining.

Where can I trade "Top USA Artist on Spotify on Apr 21, 2026?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Top USA Artist on Spotify on Apr 21, 2026?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 10% probability that Top USA Artist on Spotify on Apr 21, 2026?. This contract trades at 10¢ on Kalshi, closing April 22, 2026.

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10¢

Bid/Ask 0/8¢·Spread 8¢·Vol $267.46·OI $273.31·Closes Apr 22, 2026·0d remaining

KXSPOTIFYARTISTD-26APR21-BAD

Cross-venue

Also on polymarket at —¢

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.72Close-time delta 188h

Resolution rules

If Bad Bunny is #1 on the Daily Top Artists USA chart on the chart dated Apr 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

Adj IY 50000%

CRI 9

Overround 0.2%

▶ Full indicator table (3)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
Adj IY	50000%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	9	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	0.2%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

8¢

Computed

4/22/2026, 1:57:45 AM

Indicators computed 4/22/2026, 1:53:17 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXSPOTIFYARTISTD-26APR21-BAD yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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