Will Bad Bunny be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 23% probability that Will Bad Bunny be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date t.... This contract trades at 23¢ on Kalshi, closing December 31, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $1,025 open interest, making the 23¢ price potentially unreliable for actual trading.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero 24-hour volume and only $1,025 open interest, making the 23¢ price potentially unreliable for actual trading. The 565% implied yield on the Yes side is artificially inflated due to the low liquidity and wide 7¢ spread, suggesting this contract is underpriced relative to Bad Bunny's historical streaming dominance—he's consistently ranked in Spotify's top 3 globally. With 258 days until expiry and neutral regime conditions, the low cliff risk index (4) indicates relatively stable pricing, but traders should expect significant slippage given the minimal liquidity.
Resolution rules
If Bad Bunny is the #2 most streamed Artist on Spotify's 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXTOPARTISTRUNNERUP-26-BAD yes 100