Will Beyoncé be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that Will Beyoncé be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date tha.... This contract trades at 5¢ on Kalshi, closing December 31, 2026. This market is severely illiquid with only $100 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 5¢ price potentially unreliable for actual trading.
Analysis
This market is severely illiquid with only $100 open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 5¢ price potentially unreliable for actual trading. The extreme 2686% implied yield on the Yes side reflects the low probability priced in, but Beyoncé finishing exactly #2 (not #1, #3, or elsewhere) is a highly specific outcome that makes this a narrow bet despite her streaming dominance. With 258 days to expiry and a 19 Cliff Risk Index, there's meaningful uncertainty about whether sufficient liquidity will develop before resolution.
Resolution rules
If Beyoncé is the #2 most streamed Artist on Spotify's 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXTOPARTISTRUNNERUP-26-BEY yes 100