Will Morgan Wallen be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 5% probability that Will Morgan Wallen be the #2 most streamed Artist on the 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the da.... This contract trades at 5¢ on Kalshi, closing December 31, 2026. This market is severely illiquid with zero 24-hour volume and only $735 open interest, making the 2685.7% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical and unreliable for actual trading.
Analysis
This market is severely illiquid with zero 24-hour volume and only $735 open interest, making the 2685.7% implied yield on the Yes side largely theoretical and unreliable for actual trading. The 5¢ price reflects an extremely low 5% probability that Morgan Wallen finishes as the #2 most-streamed artist globally—a very specific ranking outcome requiring him to outpace nearly all competitors except one—which appears reasonable given the difficulty of predicting exact chart positions 258 days out. The neutral regime and flat 7-day price action suggest limited market conviction, and the high cliff risk index (19) indicates potential for sharp moves closer to the December 2026 resolution date.
Resolution rules
If Morgan Wallen is the #2 most streamed Artist on Spotify's 2026 Spotify Wrapped Top 10 Artist Globally chart on the date that the chart is released for 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXTOPARTISTRUNNERUP-26-MOR yes 100