Will Rodolfo Vieira win the Vieira vs McConico professional MMA fight scheduled for Apr 25, 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 71% probability that Will Rodolfo Vieira win the Vieira vs McConico professional MMA fight scheduled for Apr 25, 2026?. This contract trades at 71¢ on Kalshi, closing May 9, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $6.99 in 24-hour volume and open interest, creating unreliable pricing despite the tight 1¢ spread.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with only $6.99 in 24-hour volume and open interest, creating unreliable pricing despite the tight 1¢ spread. The 70¢ price implies a heavily favored outcome for Vieira, but the astronomical 3,981.7% implied yield on the "No" side suggests severe mispricing—likely a result of minimal trading activity rather than genuine market conviction. With the fight scheduled for April 25 but the market closing May 9, there's minimal cliff risk (score of 2), though the recent 2¢ price movement from 68¢ indicates some recent activity in what remains an extremely thin market.
Resolution rules
If Rodolfo Vieira wins the Vieira vs McConico professional MMA fight originally scheduled for Apr 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXUFCFIGHT-26APR25VIEMCC-VIE yes 100