What is the current probability for "Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 2¢ (2% implied probability) on Kalshi. It closes on December 31, 2026.

Where can I trade "Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?"?

This market trades on Kalshi, a US-regulated prediction market exchange. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 2% probability that Who will be the Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026?. This contract trades at 2¢ on Kalshi, closing December 31, 2026.

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2¢

Bid/Ask 1/2¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $0·OI $2,658·Closes Dec 31, 2026

KXUFCLIGHTWEIGHTTITLE-26-MHOL

Cross-venue

Also on polymarket at 23¢(Δ -21¢)

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.94IY 498.8%Close-time delta 17h

Resolution rules

If Max Holloway is the UFC Lightweight Title Holder on Dec 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

1¢

Computed

4/30/2026, 12:54:10 AM

Trade

View on kalshi →sf trade KXUFCLIGHTWEIGHTTITLE-26-MHOL yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →Event Overround →