Avtodor Saratov vs BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg Winner?
Prediction markets currently give a 87% probability that Avtodor Saratov vs BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg Winner?. This contract trades at 87¢ on Kalshi, closing May 6, 2026. This market exhibits extreme dysfunction with a 0¢ price despite an 81¢ spread and virtually no liquidity (zero 24h volume and open interest), suggesting the contract may be mispriced or inactive.
Analysis
This market exhibits extreme dysfunction with a 0¢ price despite an 81¢ spread and virtually no liquidity (zero 24h volume and open interest), suggesting the contract may be mispriced or inactive. The astronomical 33,918.6% implied yield on the Yes side is a mathematical artifact of the near-zero price rather than a genuine opportunity, while the 2,409% realized volatility and high cliff risk index (16) indicate severe pricing instability. With only 17 days until expiry and the underlying game already past its original April 22 scheduled date, this market appears broken or potentially unresolvable in its current form.
Resolution rules
If BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg wins the Avtodor Saratov vs BK Uralmash Yekaterinburg professional Russia VTB United League basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 22, 2026 at 10:30 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXVTBGAME-26APR221030AVSURA-URA yes 100