Enisey Krasnoyarsk vs BC Lokomotiv Kuban Winner?

Prediction markets currently give a 39% probability that Enisey Krasnoyarsk vs BC Lokomotiv Kuban Winner?. This contract trades at 39¢ on Kalshi, closing May 6, 2026. This market shows severe illiquidity dysfunction with zero volume and open interest despite a massive 81¢ spread and an extraordinary 28,465% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting the 0¢ price is likely a stale or erroneous quote rather than genuine market consensus.

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39¢mid
Bid/Ask 9/68¢·Spread 59¢·Vol $0·OI $0·Closes May 6, 2026·15d remaining
KXVTBGAME-26APR221300ENILOK-ENI
7-day price93 snapshots · 2 regime
17¢9¢ current
Apr 196¢Apr 21

Analysis

2d ago

This market shows severe illiquidity dysfunction with zero volume and open interest despite a massive 81¢ spread and an extraordinary 28,465% implied yield on the Yes side, suggesting the 0¢ price is likely a stale or erroneous quote rather than genuine market consensus. The game was originally scheduled for April 22, 2026 but the market doesn't close until May 6, indicating a postponement or scheduling issue that creates uncertainty about whether the event will resolve at all. With extreme realized volatility (2,464%), a high cliff risk index of 13, and only 17 days to expiry, this market appears broken and should be avoided until liquidity materializes or the underlying event status is clarified.

Resolution rules

If Enisey Krasnoyarsk wins the Enisey Krasnoyarsk vs BC Lokomotiv Kuban professional Russia VTB United League basketball game originally scheduled for Apr 22, 2026 at 1:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 24561.1%
IY (No) 240.2%
Adj IY 24561%
CRI 10
RV 2985%
VR 1.74
▶ Full indicator table (7)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)24561.1%
IY (No)240.2%
Adj IY24561%
CRI10
RV2985%
VR1.74
IAR1.6/h

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
59¢
Computed
4/21/2026, 4:34:00 PM
Indicators computed 4/21/2026, 4:23:17 PM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXVTBGAME-26APR221300ENILOK-ENI yes 100

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