Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $160.01 by Dec 31, 2026?

Prediction markets currently give a 26% probability that Will the maximum WTI front month settle price reach $160.01 by Dec 31, 2026?. This contract trades at 26¢ on Kalshi, closing December 31, 2026.

██████████░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░
26¢
Bid/Ask 25/26¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $1,014.86·OI $155,606.78·Closes Dec 31, 2026·254d remaining
KXWTIMAX-26DEC31-T160
7-day price172 snapshots · 62 regime
37¢25¢ current
Apr 812¢Apr 22
Cross-venue

Also on polymarket at ¢

View counterpart →Match confidence 0.72Close-time delta 5900h

Resolution rules

If ICE reports that the maximum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is above $160 between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 431.9%
IY (No) 48.0%
Adj IY 207%
CRI 3
Overround 2.4%
LAS 0.04
▶ Full indicator table (6)
IndicatorValue
IY (Yes)431.9%
IY (No)48.0%
Adj IY207%
CRI3
Overround2.4%
LAS0.04

Regime

Label
neutral
Score
0.442
Spread
1¢
Computed
4/22/2026, 6:41:43 AM
SF edge 18.0¢ yesObservability lowEvent type financial

Edges (5)

NO +18¢thesis — Putin profits from Iran war oil prices. Russian military budget fully funded. Uk
NO +7¢thesis — Trump cannot exit the Iran war gracefully. His operating system does not support
NO +21¢thesis — The United States will launch a ground invasion of Iran. After 5 weeks of airstr
NO +48¢thesis — The Hormuz Strait is America's final battle — not because it will lose militaril
NO +21¢thesis — Oil above $100 drives electricity costs up. Data center operating costs surge. A
Has orderbookIndicators computed 4/22/2026, 6:38:23 AM

Trade

View on kalshisf trade KXWTIMAX-26DEC31-T160 yes 100

Related concepts

Related Prediction Market Questions