Al Najmah Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 4.5

This Over 4.5 goals market shows extreme distress signals with the Yes price collapsing 51% over seven days (from 39¢ to 19¢), generating a nonsensical 26,280% implied yield that reflects the illiquidity crisis rather than genuine probability—the $504k open interest paired with zero 24-hour volume and a 13¢ spread indicates the market is effectively frozen. With only 6 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 4, this appears to be a dead or abandoned position where the last trade was likely a market-clearing dump, making the 19¢ price unreliable for decision-making.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming Saudi Professional League game between Al Najmah Saudi Club and Al Taawoun Saudi Club, scheduled for April 23 at 12:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Al Najmah Saudi Club and Al Taawoun Saudi Club combine to score 5 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on slstat.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Indicators

Regime

Trade