Spread: Al Najmah Saudi Club (-2.5)

This market shows extreme distress signals with a 29¢ price that has collapsed 26% over 7 days amid zero 24-hour volume and a massive 44¢ bid-ask spread, suggesting severe illiquidity and potential abandonment. The astronomical implied yields (13,169% for Yes) reflect the pricing dysfunction rather than genuine opportunity, while the $78.7k open interest and 1,652% realized volatility indicate this contract experienced wild swings before drying up. With only 7 days to expiry and a Cliff Risk Index of 2, this appears to be a dead or dying market where the -2.5 goal spread outcome is priced as highly unlikely but the true probability is obscured by illiquidity rather than informed consensus.

Resolution rules

In the upcoming Saudi Professional League game, scheduled for April 23 at 12:10 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Al Najmah Saudi Club" if Al Najmah Saudi Club win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Al Taawoun Saudi Club". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on slstat.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Indicators

Regime

Trade