Australia unemployment rate in Apr 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 94% probability that Australia unemployment rate in Apr 2026?. This contract trades at 94¢ on Kalshi, closing May 21, 2026. This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the quoted metrics unreliable—the 9¢ spread and astronomical 8677.7% implied yield on the "No" side are artifacts of a dead market rather than genuine pricing signals.
Analysis
This market shows extreme illiquidity with zero volume and open interest, making the quoted metrics unreliable—the 9¢ spread and astronomical 8677.7% implied yield on the "No" side are artifacts of a dead market rather than genuine pricing signals. The 0¢ price suggests near-certain expectation that Australia's unemployment will remain at or below 4.0% in April 2026, though with only 34 days to expiry and no trading activity, this reflects minimal market conviction. The cliff risk index of 8 indicates high sensitivity to the resolution threshold, compounded by the illiquidity that would make any actual position difficult to exit.
Resolution rules
If the Australia unemployment rate is above 4.0% for Apr 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
Regime
Trade
sf trade KXUE-AUS26APRIL-4.0 yes 100