What is the current probability for "Will Barcelona SC win on 2026-04-29?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 45¢ (45% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on April 30, 2026. 1 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will Barcelona SC win on 2026-04-29?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 81705.3% and 54695.3% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will Barcelona SC win on 2026-04-29?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will Barcelona SC win on 2026-04-29?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 45% probability that Will Barcelona SC win on 2026-04-29?. This contract trades at 45¢ on Polymarket, closing April 30, 2026.

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45¢

Bid/Ask 44/46¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $23.062·OI $82,242.942·Closes Apr 30, 2026·1d remaining

0xe58d4bdb876e2ccb60285b7e50c5baac8553dc8e0cc93b5745e8e9e86134fef2

7-day price43 snapshots · 4 regime

50¢45¢ current

Apr 2544¢Apr 29

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 29, 2026 If Barcelona SC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Indicators

IY (Yes) 81705.3%

IY (No) 54695.3%

Adj IY 40853%

CRI 1

Overround 0.0%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	81705.3%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	54695.3%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	40853%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	1	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	0.0%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

2¢

Computed

4/29/2026, 10:57:31 AM

Indicators computed 4/29/2026, 10:53:26 AM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0xe58d4bdb876e2ccb60285b7e50c5baac8553dc8e0cc93b5745e8e9e86134fef2 yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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