Bitcoin price on May 1, 2026?
Prediction markets currently give a 50% probability that Bitcoin price on May 1, 2026?. This contract trades at 50¢ on Kalshi, closing May 1, 2026.
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50¢Bid/Ask 49/50¢·Spread 1¢·Vol $181,780.35·OI $98,429.24·Closes May 1, 2026·0d remaining
KXBTCD-26MAY0117-T78499.99
7-day price857 snapshots · 89 regime
66¢53¢ current
Apr 243¢May 1
Resolution rules
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) before 5 PM EDT is above 78499.99 at 5 PM EDT on May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Indicators
▶ Full indicator table (7)▼ Full indicator table (7)
| Indicator | Value |
|---|---|
| Adj IY | 86556% |
| CRI | 1 |
| RV | 4135% |
| VR | 0.27 |
| IAR | 5.6/h |
| Overround | 1.4% |
| LAS | 0.02 |
Regime
Label
neutral
Score
0.5
Spread
1¢
Computed
5/1/2026, 7:16:21 PM
Has orderbookIndicators computed 5/1/2026, 7:08:10 PM
Trade
View on kalshi →
sf trade KXBTCD-26MAY0117-T78499.99 yes 100