What is the current probability for "Will CD Palestino vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?"?

This prediction market is currently priced at 31¢ (31% implied probability) on Polymarket. It closes on April 30, 2026. 1 days remaining.

What is the implied yield on "Will CD Palestino vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?"?

The annualized implied yield on the YES side is 100000.0% and 30034.0% on the NO side. Implied yield measures the annualized return if the contract is held to expiry and resolves in your favor.

Where can I trade "Will CD Palestino vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?"?

This market trades on Polymarket, a blockchain-based prediction market. You can also analyze it with SimpleFunctions — AI-powered indicators, regime detection, and autonomous trading across both venues.

Will CD Palestino vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?

Name: SimpleFunctions
Author: SimpleFunctions

Prediction markets currently give a 31% probability that Will CD Palestino vs. Grêmio FBPA end in a draw?. This contract trades at 31¢ on Polymarket, closing April 30, 2026.

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31¢

Bid/Ask 30/32¢·Spread 2¢·Vol $280.804·OI $108,460.8·Closes Apr 30, 2026·1d remaining

0x54ea193dad9d939bf9d94a4a3ac3526282d6f4601c9b5a7b82f7294e133a927b

7-day price14 snapshots · 3 regime

50¢31¢ current

Apr 2528¢Apr 29

Resolution rules

In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 29, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Indicators

IY (Yes) >100,000%

IY (No) 30034.0%

Adj IY 50000%

CRI 2

Overround 0.0%

▶ Full indicator table (5)

Indicator	Value	Meaning
IY (Yes)	>100,000%	Annualized return if held to expiry, YES side
IY (No)	30034.0%	Annualized return, NO side
Adj IY	50000%	Risk-adjusted IY — penalizes dead markets and high friction
CRI	2	Cliff Risk Index — how fast the market approaches resolution
Overround	0.0%	Multi-outcome arb signal across the event family

Regime

Label

neutral

Score

0.5

Spread

2¢

Computed

4/29/2026, 11:00:01 AM

Indicators computed 4/29/2026, 10:53:26 AM

Trade

View on polymarket →sf trade 0x54ea193dad9d939bf9d94a4a3ac3526282d6f4601c9b5a7b82f7294e133a927b yes 100

Related concepts

Implied Yield →Cliff Risk Index →

Resolution rules

Indicators

Regime

Trade

Related concepts

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