Will CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo win on 2026-04-23?
Prediction markets currently give a 66% probability that Will CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo win on 2026-04-23?. This contract trades at 66¢ on Polymarket, closing April 23, 2026. This market exhibits extreme illiquidity with only $267 in open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 66¢ price potentially unreliable despite the modest 2-point spread.
Analysis
This market exhibits extreme illiquidity with only $267 in open interest and zero 24-hour volume, making the 66¢ price potentially unreliable despite the modest 2-point spread. The astronomical implied yields (5814% for Yes, 21909% for No) are artifacts of minimal liquidity rather than genuine opportunities, and the 242% realized volatility signals high uncertainty or thin order books. With just 3 days to expiration and a Cliff Risk Index of 2, the market is approaching resolution with minimal trading activity, suggesting either low interest in this Bolivian football match or insufficient market depth to attract serious participants.
Resolution rules
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 23, 2026 If CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
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Trade
sf trade 0x571a4c6ba1aeb0cfab8cca29fb16cc0c687852ed4dc743e9b500703c7010f96e yes 100